Off the cuff: The win over N.C. State could be a season changer... or a blip. I suspect though that the momentum has changed a bit. As long as they stay healthy, the Heels will continue to get better. During their big run in the second half, the defense clamped down and the guards drove to the hoop quickly and aggressively. If that continues and Davis heals and Thompson plays like he can, the Tar Heels will be hard to beat. We'll certainly know more after the Virginia game at home Sunday. With three losses in ACC play already, every game is going to be big from here on out. The Heels need to go .500 in the league to make sure they go to the NCAA tournament. That means they must go 6-5 the rest of the way. They should be able to do that. Now, if they want to be in the hunt for the crown, they need to go something like 10-1 - very unlikely. I'm thinking 9-2 or 8-3 would get them a very nice seed in the tournament. Keep in mind that Carolina plays Duke twice, at Maryland, at Georgia Tech and at Wake plus they have no sacrificial Tiger at home this year. To get to 8-3 and thus 10-6 in the league for the season, they not only have to win two of those games but they have to win all the games they should including tough ones at Boston College and at Virginia Tech. So, while the N.C. State win was big, really big, there is a long road left. |
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